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Red119
454619.9
16662.9
207922.5
Blue94
172140.1
9993-0.5
19063.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124142608010016018020022011994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +32
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
82Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
119Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#3
62.90.4
60.460.9
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
blue by 0.2
190
#10
63.21.7
63.762.0
Auto22.6
Teleop34.9
End5.6
Second
2079
#11
22.50.4
21.922.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 17.6
40.11.7
42.640.9
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Third
19.90.4
20.921.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End-0.2
red by 20.5
9993
#26
-0.52.8
1.2-1.6
Auto2.7
Teleop-3.0
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsMissed