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Red93
83950.4
636722.9
31928.0
Blue73
346744.9
23818.8
632435.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091140501502002503003509373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points13
35Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
44Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
93Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#5
50.40.2
51.150.8
Auto10.8
Teleop31.8
End7.9
red by 5.5
3467
#23
44.90.6
46.045.4
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End3.9
Second
319
#1
28.00.2
28.728.5
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
blue by 7.2
6324
#15
35.20.6
36.335.6
Auto10.7
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Third
6367
#24
22.90.2
23.323.1
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End-0.1
red by 4.1
238
#12
18.80.6
19.919.3
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End-0.1