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Red94
237049.7
99994.0
568775.6
Blue91
13130.6
172140.1
151212.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184930501502002503009491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
59Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
94Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.61.3
77.776.4
Auto22.6
Teleop46.7
End6.2
red by 35.5
40.10.3
40.940.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End6.2
Second
2370
#17
49.71.3
51.750.4
Auto8.4
Teleop33.3
End8.0
red by 19.1
131
#13
30.60.3
31.331.1
Auto7.8
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Third
9999
#16
4.02.2
7.55.3
Auto3.7
Teleop-1.0
End1.3
blue by 8.2
1512
#14
12.20.3
12.912.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End4.6