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Red45
767412.5
33239.3
19063.2
Blue72
804634.9
192232.7
454619.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513060801001401601804572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+13
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
4Coral scored#6
16Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points14
45Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#10
63.24.4
70.265.8
Auto22.6
Teleop34.9
End5.6
red by 28.3
8046
#19
34.93.8
44.740.9
Auto6.9
Teleop22.2
End5.8
Second
7674
#20
12.54.4
23.018.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End-1.1
blue by 20.2
32.73.8
39.535.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Third
3323
#25
9.34.4
17.913.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 10.7
19.93.8
30.827.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed