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Red101
16662.9
999128.4
841017.2
Blue86
346744.9
23818.8
632435.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110108608010012014010186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
42Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
101Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#3
62.90.0
60.460.5
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
red by 18.0
3467
#23
44.90.5
45.444.9
Auto13.7
Teleop27.3
End3.9
Second
28.40.1
24.224.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 6.8
6324
#15
35.20.5
35.635.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Third
8410
#21
17.20.0
14.714.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End3.9
blue by 1.6
238
#12
18.80.5
19.318.8
Auto7.4
Teleop11.5
End-0.1