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Red98
83950.4
636722.9
31928.0
Blue78
999610.5
192232.7
207922.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109690501502002509878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points32
25Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +16
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points25
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
57Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +20
4Foul points0
98Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#5
50.40.2
50.750.5
Auto10.8
Teleop31.8
End7.9
red by 17.7
32.70.3
32.432.7
Auto9.5
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
319
#1
28.00.2
28.328.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
red by 5.5
2079
#11
22.50.3
22.222.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
6367
#24
22.90.2
23.122.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.9
End-0.1
red by 12.3
9996
#18
10.50.5
10.010.5
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End1.3