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Red146
19063.2
33239.3
632870.7
Blue91
16662.9
999128.4
841017.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910205020025014691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
69Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
146Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.1
70.170.2
Auto20.5
Teleop42.8
End7.3
red by 7.7
166
#3
62.90.2
60.660.4
Auto15.6
Teleop36.9
End10.4
Second
190
#10
63.20.1
62.662.7
Auto22.6
Teleop34.9
End5.6
red by 34.8
28.40.3
24.524.2
Auto6.6
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Third
3323
#25
9.30.1
8.88.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 7.9
8410
#21
17.20.2
14.914.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.8
End3.9