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Red90
83950.4
767412.5
31928.0
Blue126
237049.7
99994.0
568775.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9416405015020025090126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+44
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +20
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
90Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#5
50.40.2
50.850.7
Auto10.8
Teleop31.8
End7.9
blue by 25.2
75.60.3
76.476.1
Auto22.6
Teleop46.7
End6.2
Second
319
#1
28.00.2
28.528.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.0
End5.0
blue by 21.6
2370
#17
49.70.3
50.450.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.3
End8.0
Third
7674
#20
12.50.2
12.812.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.5
End-1.1
red by 8.5
9999
#16
4.00.4
5.34.9
Auto3.7
Teleop-1.0
End1.3