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Red71
454633.4
5853.1
17612.5
Blue193
632872.3
192240.1
999128.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312640608010014016018020071193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+84
Endgame+96
Fouls+122
AutonomousBlue +34
3Leave9
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points35
10Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +50
8Coral scored#22
29Coral points79
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
53Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#14
2L3#6
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +122
6Foul points32
71Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#16
53.12.3
61.959.6
Auto9.2
Teleop36.0
End7.9
blue by 19.2
72.33.4
69.773.0
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
Second
4546
#25
33.42.3
34.031.7
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End1.1
blue by 6.7
40.13.4
26.029.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
Third
1761
#28
2.52.3
3.20.9
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 25.5
9991
#17
28.05.6
14.820.4
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned