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Qual 122025 Battle Of the Bay
Red60
5015.8
151217.2
234242.1
Blue115
346760.6
19070.9
13145.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6721305010015025030035060115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#17
31Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
41Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#8
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
4Foul points6
60Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#31
42.11.3
44.7→43.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
blue by 28.7
190
#3
70.94.8
65.7→60.8
Auto19.7
Teleop44.2
End7.0
Second
1512
#19
17.21.3
20.6→19.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End5.1
blue by 43.3
3467
#7
60.64.8
63.1→58.3
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End5.6
Third
501
#24Sur
5.81.3
10.9→9.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 39.5
131
#15Sur
45.34.8
52.5→47.7
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed