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Red123
999624.4
172139.8
767423.4
Blue179
172939.3
23826.3
632975.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94190050150250300350123179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +19
9Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points28
18Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
18Coral scored#26
63Coral points92
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
91Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#5
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
26Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
123Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1721
#11
39.80.8
32.833.6
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
blue by 35.8
75.60.3
82.582.3
Auto20.9
Teleop45.5
End9.3
Second
9996
#26
24.41.3
12.013.4
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End4.6
blue by 14.9
1729
#12
39.30.3
37.136.8
Auto7.4
Teleop27.8
End4.1
Third
7674
#30
23.40.8
26.126.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End-0.4
blue by 2.9
238
#13
26.30.3
24.824.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned