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Red103
15732.1
271336.1
632872.3
Blue162
237059.8
13366.7
632443.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481870100300400103162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points13
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#22
34Coral points80
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
66Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#11
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
103Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.6
73.070.4
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
red by 5.6
133
#21
66.70.7
65.664.9
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
Second
2713
#29
36.12.6
34.632.0
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
blue by 23.7
59.80.7
55.955.2
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
Third
157
#18
32.12.6
34.732.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
blue by 11.7
6324
#14
43.80.7
50.649.9
Auto12.0
Teleop28.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned