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Red141
568783.0
17612.5
192240.1
Blue137
83959.0
804649.3
1006629.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141540200300400141137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
94Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
141Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.02.2
78.280.4
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
red by 24.0
839
#32
59.00.1
64.164.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.4
End9.1
Second
40.12.2
29.331.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
blue by 9.2
49.30.1
47.046.9
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
Third
1761
#28
2.52.2
0.93.1
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 27.1
29.60.1
28.027.8
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed