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Red111
5853.1
581362.1
31932.8
Blue131
16661.6
841029.0
999723.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176127050100150200250300111131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+32
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points41
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +28
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
55Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#4
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
111Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#22
62.12.8
62.860.0
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
red by 0.6
166
#8
61.61.2
60.862.0
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End9.2
Second
58
#16
53.12.8
59.656.9
Auto9.2
Teleop36.0
End7.9
red by 24.1
8410
#27
29.01.2
37.438.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End5.8
Third
319
#10
32.82.8
30.527.7
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.9
red by 8.9
9997
#20
23.82.0
14.516.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed