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Red73
999624.4
13145.3
15732.1
Blue168
568783.0
804649.3
632872.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9522405015020025030035073168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+97
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +33
0Leave0
4Coral scored#10
18Coral points51
18Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#19
27Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
37Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#6
14Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
18Cage & park16
18Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
73Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#15
45.31.3
47.746.4
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
blue by 37.7
83.02.0
80.478.4
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
Second
157
#18
32.11.3
32.130.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
blue by 40.2
72.32.0
70.468.4
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
Third
9996
#26
24.42.2
13.411.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End4.6
blue by 24.9
49.32.0
46.944.9
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed88%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned