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Red84
17612.5
172139.8
234242.1
Blue154
5015.8
16661.6
581362.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9416205020025030084154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+64
Endgame+72
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave9
2Coral scored#7
12Coral points35
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +32
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
54Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
2Foul points0
84Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#31
42.11.4
43.441.9
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
blue by 20.0
5813
#22
62.10.1
60.060.1
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
Second
1721
#11
39.81.4
33.632.2
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
blue by 21.8
166
#8
61.60.1
62.062.1
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End9.2
Third
1761
#28
2.51.4
3.11.7
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
blue by 3.3
501
#24
5.80.1
9.59.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned