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Red157
271336.1
999624.4
999128.0
Blue178
172139.8
999723.8
346760.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83142050100200157178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#25
83Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
119Total teleop125
Reef
9L4#15
10L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
157Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#29
36.14.8
32.036.8
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
blue by 24.4
60.63.5
56.159.7
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End5.6
Second
9991
#17
28.08.0
22.630.7
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End2.4
blue by 11.8
1721
#11
39.83.5
32.235.7
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
Third
9996
#26
24.48.0
11.119.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End4.6
red by 0.6
9997
#20
23.85.9
16.622.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned