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Red125
151217.2
13145.3
16661.6
Blue101
17612.5
15732.1
13366.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132100050150200125101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points37
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
72Total teleop45
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points0
125Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#8
61.60.4
62.161.7
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End9.2
blue by 5.1
133
#21
66.70.4
62.863.2
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
Second
131
#15
45.30.4
46.446.0
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
red by 13.2
157
#18
32.10.4
30.731.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
Third
1512
#19
17.20.4
16.616.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End5.1
red by 14.7
1761
#28
2.50.4
1.72.1
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned