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Red20
841029.0
5015.8
83959.0
Blue171
23826.3
632872.3
454633.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714505010020025020171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+103
Endgame+113
Fouls+151
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave0
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points41
6Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +68
3Coral scored#15
10Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
10Total teleop78
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#6
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
4Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +151
0Foul points38
20Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#32
59.05.8
61.355.5
Auto8.5
Teleop41.4
End9.1
blue by 13.3
72.30.4
68.468.8
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
Second
8410
#27
29.05.8
35.529.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End5.8
blue by 4.4
4546
#25
33.40.4
33.033.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Third
501
#24
5.85.8
9.63.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 20.5
238
#13
26.30.4
26.326.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned