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Red186
19070.9
31932.8
804649.3
Blue150
632443.8
632975.6
581362.1
15%Model gave it85%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140217050100200250300350186150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+42Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +20
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points56
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
106Total teleop86
Reef
9L4#6
10L3#9
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points6
186Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#3
70.93.3
62.565.8
Auto19.7
Teleop44.2
End7.0
blue by 4.8
75.62.9
80.177.2
Auto20.9
Teleop45.5
End9.3
Second
49.33.3
44.948.1
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
blue by 12.8
5813
#22
62.12.9
60.157.2
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
Third
319
#10
32.83.3
29.732.9
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.9
blue by 11.0
6324
#14
43.82.9
46.843.9
Auto12.0
Teleop28.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned