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Red160
5853.1
1006629.6
568783.0
Blue127
234242.1
172939.3
271336.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186121050100150250300160127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+47Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +50
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points58
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
24Processor points6
24Net points12
48Algae points18
126Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#4
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points14
160Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.5
78.477.9
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
red by 40.8
2342
#31
42.10.6
41.941.3
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
Second
58
#16
53.10.5
53.853.2
Auto9.2
Teleop36.0
End7.9
red by 13.8
1729
#12
39.30.6
38.137.5
Auto7.4
Teleop27.8
End4.1
Third
29.60.5
29.829.3
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End-0.2
blue by 6.5
2713
#29
36.10.6
36.836.2
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned