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Red129
192240.1
237059.8
5015.8
Blue111
13145.3
767423.4
999723.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10799406080120140160129111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points66
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
101Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#6
9L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points8
129Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.81.7
56.958.6
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
red by 14.5
131
#15
45.30.1
46.045.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
Second
40.11.7
33.535.2
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
red by 16.3
9997
#20
23.80.1
22.422.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3
Third
501
#24
5.81.7
3.95.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 17.6
7674
#30
23.40.1
24.324.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed