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Red206
19070.9
151217.2
568783.0
Blue116
31932.8
5853.1
13145.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18213750100150200250206116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+52Auto
+112Teleop
+102Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +52
3Leave9
12Coral scored#1
62Coral points4
65Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +60
24Coral scored#13
87Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
125Total teleop65
Reef
17L4#7
8L3#3
5L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points12
206Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.01.0
77.978.9
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
red by 29.9
58
#16
53.10.6
53.252.6
Auto9.2
Teleop36.0
End7.9
Second
190
#3
70.91.0
65.866.8
Auto19.7
Teleop44.2
End7.0
red by 25.6
131
#15
45.30.6
45.945.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
Third
1512
#19
17.21.0
16.217.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End5.1
blue by 15.6
319
#10
32.80.6
32.932.3
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.9