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Red140
632975.6
841029.0
999128.0
Blue146
346760.6
15732.1
999723.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561240100200300400140146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points38
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
97Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#8
10L3#5
3L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
140Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.60.1
77.277.3
Auto20.9
Teleop45.5
End9.3
red by 15.1
60.60.7
59.760.4
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End5.6
Second
8410
#27
29.00.1
29.829.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End5.8
blue by 3.1
157
#18
32.10.7
31.131.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
Third
9991
#17
28.00.1
30.730.7
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End2.4
red by 4.2
9997
#20
23.81.2
22.323.6
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3