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Red181
581362.1
999624.4
192240.1
Blue170
13366.7
632872.3
454633.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126185050100150250300350400181170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave6
9Coral scored#9
46Coral points45
46Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +14
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points73
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
115Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#11
9L3#10
7L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#35
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
181Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#22
62.11.5
57.258.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
blue by 10.1
72.30.1
68.868.8
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
Second
40.11.5
35.236.7
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
blue by 26.5
133
#21
66.70.1
63.263.2
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
Third
9996
#26
24.42.6
19.121.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End4.6
blue by 9.0
4546
#25
33.40.1
33.433.4
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End1.1