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Red181
234242.1
804649.3
237059.8
Blue123
16661.6
5015.8
632443.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171107050150200250300181123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
100Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +58
32Foul points2
181Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.0
58.658.7
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
blue by 1.8
166
#8
61.60.2
61.761.9
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End9.2
Second
49.30.0
48.148.2
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
red by 5.5
6324
#14
43.80.2
43.944.2
Auto12.0
Teleop28.0
End3.9
Third
2342
#31
42.10.0
41.341.3
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
red by 36.3
501
#24
5.80.2
5.65.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6