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Red111
767423.4
15732.1
172939.3
Blue63
581362.1
17612.5
271336.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013605015020025030011163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +65
17Coral scored#4
60Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
88Total teleop23
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points6
111Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#12
39.30.4
35.335.7
Auto7.4
Teleop27.8
End4.1
blue by 22.8
5813
#22
62.14.4
69.665.2
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
Second
157
#18
32.10.4
33.033.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
blue by 4.0
2713
#29
36.14.4
40.135.7
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
Third
7674
#30
23.40.4
31.531.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End-0.4
red by 20.8
1761
#28
2.54.4
7.63.2
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed