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Red125
999128.0
83959.0
172139.8
Blue128
31932.8
237059.8
13145.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137174050100200250300350125128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +15
21Coral scored#11
75Coral points38
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
93Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
125Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#32
59.00.0
64.064.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.4
End9.1
blue by 0.9
59.82.0
57.855.8
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
Second
1721
#11
39.80.0
31.531.5
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
blue by 5.5
131
#15
45.32.0
55.653.6
Auto8.6
Teleop32.6
End4.1
Third
9991
#17
28.00.0
16.616.6
Auto3.8
Teleop21.5
End2.4
blue by 4.8
319
#10
32.82.0
33.631.6
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned