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Red73
31932.8
271336.1
151217.2
Blue66
5015.8
454633.4
999624.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007002003004005006007366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+11
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +11
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#12
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
73Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#29
36.11.1
35.734.6
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
red by 2.7
4546
#25
33.40.8
33.234.0
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Second
319
#10
32.81.1
31.630.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.9
red by 8.4
9996
#26
24.41.3
10.712.0
Auto5.3
Teleop14.3
End4.6
Third
1512
#19
17.21.1
21.720.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End5.1
red by 11.4
501
#24
5.80.8
10.110.9
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed