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Red87
841029.0
767423.4
13366.7
Blue228
19070.9
568783.0
172139.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17221010015025030087228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+111
Endgame+135
Fouls+141
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +90
14Coral scored#29
49Coral points103
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
12Processor points24
8Net points32
20Algae points56
69Total teleop159
Reef
7L4#13
4L3#7
4L2#10
1L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +141
0Foul points6
87Total score228

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#21
66.75.8
71.465.6
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
blue by 16.3
83.01.3
76.978.2
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
Second
8410
#27
29.05.8
43.237.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End5.8
blue by 41.9
190
#3
70.91.3
64.365.7
Auto19.7
Teleop44.2
End7.0
Third
7674
#30
23.45.8
31.926.1
Auto3.9
Teleop19.9
End-0.4
blue by 16.4
1721
#11
39.81.3
31.532.8
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned