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Red150
234242.1
804649.3
237059.8
Blue198
13366.7
83959.0
632872.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16020250100250300350150198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +39
16Coral scored#26
57Coral points92
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#6
12Processor points24
32Net points24
44Algae points48
101Total teleop140
Reef
7L4#14
6L3#5
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points2
150Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.0
59.959.8
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
blue by 12.4
72.30.1
69.869.9
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
Second
49.30.0
49.449.3
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
blue by 17.3
133
#21
66.70.1
64.264.3
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
Third
2342
#31
42.10.0
42.242.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
blue by 16.8
839
#32
59.00.1
56.556.6
Auto8.5
Teleop41.4
End9.1