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Red212
13366.7
83959.0
632872.3
Blue117
16661.6
23826.3
632443.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203131050100150250300350212117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+69Teleop
+93Endgame
+95Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points44
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +69
26Coral scored#13
92Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
130Total teleop61
Reef
14L4#10
10L3#6
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#25
BargeRed +24
36Cage & park12
36Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +95
2Foul points0
212Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.30.5
68.869.3
Auto18.3
Teleop46.1
End7.9
red by 10.7
166
#8
61.60.3
61.961.6
Auto14.4
Teleop38.0
End9.2
Second
133
#21
66.70.5
63.263.7
Auto15.8
Teleop40.1
End10.7
red by 22.8
6324
#14
43.80.3
44.243.8
Auto12.0
Teleop28.0
End3.9
Third
839
#32
59.00.5
55.556.0
Auto8.5
Teleop41.4
End9.1
red by 32.7
238
#13
26.30.3
26.626.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4