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Red226
19070.9
172139.8
568783.0
Blue134
346760.6
999723.8
271336.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221139050100200250300350226134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+72Teleop
+94Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
3Leave6
10Coral scored#1
48Coral points6
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
34Coral scored#23
123Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
149Total teleop116
Reef
13L4#7
14L3#5
9L2#7
8L1 · trough#5
50Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points2
226Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.00.6
78.979.5
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
red by 22.4
60.60.1
60.460.3
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End5.6
Second
190
#3
70.90.6
66.867.4
Auto19.7
Teleop44.2
End7.0
red by 34.8
2713
#29
36.10.1
36.236.1
Auto6.7
Teleop25.3
End4.1
Third
1721
#11
39.80.6
35.736.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.4
End8.2
red by 15.9
9997
#20
23.80.1
23.623.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3