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Red171
581362.1
172939.3
192240.1
Blue155
1006629.6
804649.3
237059.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146139100120160180171155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave6
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +5
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points83
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
120Total teleop115
Reef
9L4#8
11L3#7
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points2
171Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#22
62.10.8
58.759.6
Auto17.9
Teleop36.3
End7.9
red by 2.3
59.80.4
58.759.0
Auto8.4
Teleop41.6
End9.9
Second
40.10.8
36.737.6
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
blue by 9.2
49.30.4
48.248.5
Auto10.2
Teleop32.5
End6.6
Third
1729
#12
39.30.8
37.538.4
Auto7.4
Teleop27.8
End4.1
red by 9.7
29.60.4
29.329.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End-0.2