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Red171
632873.6
359732.9
346771.9
Blue184
13363.6
590222.1
287766.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197159100250171184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points48
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points67
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
89Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#12
5L3#7
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points12
171Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.2
73.573.3
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 7.3
66.30.5
65.165.6
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
71.90.2
71.871.6
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 8.3
133
#3
63.60.5
62.462.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Third
3597
#23
32.90.2
33.132.9
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 10.8
5902
#20
22.10.5
20.921.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5