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Red152
870834.2
287766.3
454635.0
Blue125
208424.3
804648.7
636733.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1449950200152125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points15
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points68
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
30Processor points12
24Net points16
54Algae points28
101Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
152Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.2
52.854.0
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
red by 17.6
48.71.6
42.644.3
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Second
4546
#14
35.01.2
38.139.3
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 1.8
6367
#15
33.21.6
22.824.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
Third
8708
#13
34.21.2
26.627.7
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
red by 9.9
2084
#17
24.31.6
20.221.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned