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Red148
23829.7
403412.3
490969.2
Blue100
689522.3
172128.1
130726.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11261050100150148100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
12Processor points6
32Net points16
44Algae points22
113Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +4
14Cage & park18
14Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
148Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.21.6
64.566.1
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
red by 41.1
1721
#19
28.11.2
12.213.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Second
238
#28
29.71.6
19.220.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 2.9
1307
#30
26.81.2
25.626.7
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
Third
4034
#33
12.31.6
7.99.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 10.0
6895
#25
22.31.2
17.418.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned