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Red103
346771.9
208424.3
234256.0
Blue74
107127.4
359732.9
147415.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15452010020025010374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+41Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
76Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
103Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.92.5
69.166.6
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 38.9
3597
#23
32.90.3
23.824.1
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Second
56.02.5
38.536.0
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
red by 28.5
1071
#37
27.40.3
18.618.9
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
2084
#17
24.32.5
21.819.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
red by 8.5
1474
#38
15.80.3
15.816.1
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned