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Red79
534730.7
476121.5
870834.2
Blue79
856727.4
172943.7
767431.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849340601001201401607979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +30
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
39Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
18Foul points0
79Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8708
#13
34.2
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
blue by 9.5
43.7
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
5347
#27
30.7
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
blue by 0.9
7674
#39
31.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Third
4761
#16
21.5
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
blue by 5.9
8567
#32
27.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed