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Red97
403412.3
870834.2
841035.7
Blue134
454635.0
124710.2
490969.2
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48139010015020097134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points18
12Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +27
14Coral scored#22
51Coral points78
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
69Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#8
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
97Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#21
35.72.2
20.923.1
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
blue by 33.5
69.20.4
61.561.9
Auto17.5
Teleop44.1
End7.6
Second
8708
#13
34.22.2
24.426.6
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
blue by 0.9
4546
#14
35.00.4
36.837.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Third
4034
#33
12.32.2
7.19.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
red by 2.1
1247
#36
10.20.4
15.816.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned