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Red118
632873.6
172128.1
50940.2
Blue144
804648.7
234256.0
271216.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10293050150200250118144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
79Total teleop115
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points6
118Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.60.5
56.657.1
Auto21.5
Teleop42.2
End10.0
red by 17.6
56.02.9
36.339.2
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End7.7
Second
509
#8
40.20.5
20.220.7
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
blue by 8.6
48.72.9
36.939.8
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Third
1721
#19
28.10.5
13.013.5
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
red by 11.3
2712
#24
16.92.9
9.512.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned