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Red78
50115.1
192230.5
172943.7
Blue90
346771.9
767431.5
689522.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5714301002007890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
52Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
78Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.7
23.324.0
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
blue by 28.2
71.92.5
69.066.5
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
Second
1922
#22
30.50.7
26.326.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.5
End4.9
blue by 1.0
7674
#39
31.52.5
31.829.3
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Third
501
#26
15.10.7
9.810.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 7.2
6895
#25
22.32.5
18.415.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed