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Red70
23829.7
534730.7
731416.3
Blue102
208424.3
856727.4
13147.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6711405010015070102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+36
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
58Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
70Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5347
#27
30.70.4
29.630.0
Auto6.1
Teleop22.7
End1.9
blue by 16.8
131
#35
47.50.1
46.846.9
Auto8.6
Teleop38.1
End0.7
Second
238
#28
29.70.4
16.817.3
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 2.3
8567
#32
27.40.1
25.425.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
Third
7314
#31
16.30.4
13.914.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 8.0
2084
#17
24.30.1
20.120.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed