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Red65
359732.9
492516.9
636733.2
Blue76
669023.5
476121.5
31939.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686940506080901001106576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
50Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points0
65Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6367
#15
33.20.4
21.320.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8
blue by 5.9
319
#10
39.10.6
30.030.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Second
3597
#23
32.90.4
20.520.1
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
red by 9.4
6690
#29
23.50.6
14.615.1
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Third
4925
#34
16.90.4
16.115.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
blue by 4.6
4761
#16
21.50.6
11.512.1
Auto3.2
Teleop18.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed