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Red143
13363.6
632450.7
130726.8
Blue132
804648.7
872434.4
107127.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14282050100200250143132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points58
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
95Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points0
143Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
63.60.4
51.551.9
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
red by 14.9
48.72.8
39.842.6
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Second
6324
#12
50.70.4
45.345.7
Auto13.9
Teleop34.8
End2.0
red by 16.3
8724
#18
34.42.8
22.925.7
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
Third
1307
#30
26.80.4
27.027.4
Auto3.7
Teleop18.9
End4.2
blue by 0.6
1071
#37
27.42.8
15.518.3
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned