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Red42
147415.8
50940.2
271216.9
Blue85
689522.3
172943.7
841035.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55702040801001204285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+37
Endgame+57
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
16Total teleop47
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
14Foul points0
42Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#8
40.21.5
20.719.2
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
blue by 3.5
43.71.5
24.025.4
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
Second
2712
#24
16.91.5
12.310.9
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End3.2
blue by 18.9
8410
#21
35.71.5
23.124.6
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
Third
1474
#38
15.81.5
17.315.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.6
End1.2
blue by 6.5
6895
#25
22.31.5
15.917.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
3%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned