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Red102
50115.1
454635.0
590222.1
Blue32
767431.5
172128.1
403412.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806505010015020010232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+52Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
54Total teleop19
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
18Foul points0
102Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#14
35.00.9
37.238.1
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 3.5
7674
#39
31.51.3
29.328.0
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Second
5902
#20
22.10.9
13.914.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 6.0
1721
#19
28.11.3
13.512.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.8
End4.2
Third
501
#26
15.10.9
10.411.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 2.8
4034
#33
12.31.3
9.37.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed