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Red74
590222.1
13854.6
492516.9
Blue109
124710.2
13363.6
804648.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741395010015020074109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
15Coral scored#18
53Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
63Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
74Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
54.61.0
39.938.9
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End8.6
blue by 9.0
133
#3
63.61.9
53.151.2
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Second
5902
#20
22.11.0
16.015.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End5.5
blue by 26.6
48.71.9
44.342.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Third
4925
#34
16.91.0
16.215.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
red by 6.8
1247
#36
10.21.9
16.814.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsMissed