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Qual 232025 NE District UNH Event
Red132
731416.3
403412.3
346771.9
Blue165
50940.2
287766.3
669023.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081020200300400500600700132165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
12Processor points12
4Net points28
16Algae points40
87Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#9
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
12Foul points2
132Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#2
71.91.1
66.6→67.7
Auto15.9
Teleop50.6
End5.4
red by 5.5
2877
#4
66.34.2
54.0→58.1
Auto19.8
Teleop38.0
End8.6
Second
7314
#31
16.31.1
15.4→16.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 23.9
509
#8
40.24.2
20.1→24.2
Auto4.2
Teleop30.3
End5.6
Third
4034
#33
12.31.1
9.6→10.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End3.1
blue by 11.3
6690
#29
23.54.2
15.3→19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned