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Red79
872434.4
856727.4
790710.9
Blue104
208424.3
870834.2
359732.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7385406010012014079104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
60Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
79Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#18
34.40.7
25.125.8
Auto6.3
Teleop25.9
End2.2
red by 0.2
8708
#13
34.21.6
27.729.4
Auto6.2
Teleop23.7
End4.2
Second
8567
#32
27.40.7
26.427.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.6
End1.9
blue by 5.5
3597
#23
32.91.6
24.125.7
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End5.2
Third
7907
#40
10.90.7
10.411.2
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 13.5
2084
#17
24.31.6
19.320.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned